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Original: 9/24/2008 7:26 AM
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Wednesday, September 24, 2008

 this is a text-only message about the bailout
Today Goldman raised $10 billion.  The CEO got $67 million dollars in pay last year.  The secretary of the US Treasury was the CEO in 2006 of Goldman, and he has about half a billion dollars.
And he's asking Congress to raise the federal debt ceiling to almost 12 trillion dollars.  That's nearly 40 grand for every man/woman/child in the U.S. and it HAS to be paid off.  If we don't pay it off, foreign investors sure as shit aren't going to buy our debt.  It's like we're making the minimum payments on credit cards.
Do you get this?  The Treasury secretary is trying to put YOU more in hock, while his company raises billions of dollars in securing itself for the financial collapse coming.  You'll be left with the bill, and they run off with YOUR money.  Just in time for Paulson to leave office.
The FBI is investigating the whole thing.
Some people got mad when I said this thing will work itself out in 45 to 90 years.  That's not some number pulled out of my hat.  Just ask yourself, if the average person had to pay off all debt (be debt free) that includes houses, cars, appliances, etc.  How long would it take?  Well for the U.S. with a negative savings rate, that would be a few billion years, but say that people really tried to pay things off.  45 years at least.  Now add 20% joblessness like Finland when they did the exact same bailout plan that the USG is doing or trying to hoodwink Congress into passing.  About 90 years.
I love how Bush and McCain said, "the economy is sound" about a week and a half ago, and now this massive bailout plan is needed right away because (as bush said, "it's a big problem).   They're asking congress not to stop and think - hmmm - it's like give me a blowjob quick - you won't get sick if you swallow it and don't think about it.  When someone says do it right away - and not to think - that is the time to think.
McCain or Obama, with a country divided, there will be no leadership.  You cannot lead if you don't have the people behind you.  With half fighting you all day long, nothing will get done.
"United we stand, divided we fall".  
 Posted 9/24/2008 7:26 AM - 3002 Views - 28 eProps - 36 comments

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The Bush administration asked 17 times for regulation on Fannie and Freddie and was turned down from a Democratic congress, so lets take them out of it for a second. Democrats are to blame. This HAS to pass or there will be a major depression. It has to. It is more of an investemt or small loss at worse. With the feds in control of lowering interest rates on home owners more people will stay in their homes. If people don't pay their home loans, states do not get prpperty taxes, they can't pay schools, fire men, police. No business loans from the banks means heavey job loss, farmers can't produce, no sales tax either. Bad, bad, bad scenario. We have a fix, it needs to pass. It will generate a return, they are not just giving up trillions of dollars the private sector will come in and pick them up. Needs to pass!
Posted 9/24/2008 8:15 AM by ShooterSteve - recommend - reply

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Gary I couldn't agree with you more. Why can't people see what this bill for what it is...a shit sandwhich for the US taxpayer. We'll be a lot worse in the long run if this bill passes. Everyone is so shortsighted. Eventually we will all have to pay for our gross overconsumption on credit.  All you can do as a voting taxpayer is let your congressional leaders know where you stand on the legislation. I wrote my senators and representatives and hopefully they'll vote representing my stance.

 I get tired of debating with people who think you can max out a credit card and not have to pay it back at some point in the future. The US government is a credit card that's close to being maxed out. Are people not listening to economists like Nouriel Roubini, Alan Meltzer, John Makin, Robert Schiller, ect, ect, ect. Has anyone seen the documentary by David Walker titled IOUUSA. Other 3rd world countries have gone down this path of having huge current account deficits and the story doesn't end with a happy ending. I spoke with Gary in Hilton Head and he said "how could it not". This was in reference to the US ending up like Argentina or Mexico. It's very tough to see things in the future being bad when we've had it so good for so long. It's close to the definition of insanity to do what others have done in the past and expect different results. We will have to wait and see how the economic landscape looks in September 2010. 

Posted 9/24/2008 9:38 AM by sp500700 - recommend - reply

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Your not getting it. Things are going to be bad if it passes, we are talking catastrophe if it doesn't Paulson and Bernake are holding back big time to prevent panic in the markets now. We are not loosing this bail out money, it will be paid, all or close to if not all of it, this is a huge thing to keep in mind. It will make this plane crash of an economy surviveable.  It needs to pass.
Posted 9/24/2008 10:08 AM by ShooterSteve - recommend - reply

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We bought our first house in Feb. 2006 and moved in that same year. Since it was our first house we got an interest only loan with an arm of 3 years. This sounded like a great deal at the time.The arm is up in July 2009. Our home price has dropped 40-50% and we have put in $70,000.....in interset. My husband just called our company that holds our mortgage, Indy Mac, and asked what they could do to help us. We have never been late, we have excellent credit scores but yet they cannot do anything. We asked what would happen if one of us lost our jobs? What about if we moved to a different State for work? What if we just walked away from our house? She told us to refi - WHAT - refin what?? Nothing. NOTHING - they will help us in NO way. Am I correct in saying that we as tax payers bailed this company out and they will now not help us?? She told him to call back the first week in October AFTER the $700 billion bailout happens and then maybe, MAYBE they will be able to do something.

This makes me ill! We both have good jobs and make good money. We own another home in another State too.We can afford our home now but what happens when the arm comes up next July? What will rates be then? Will our house even be worth the 70k we put into it?

Any suggestions would be great - thank you!!

Posted 9/24/2008 10:09 AM by Jean0008 - recommend - reply

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Regardless of your opinions on whether we should have a bailout or not, it is a moot point. The decision is not up to us. It is out of our hands and in the hands of those we voted for or did not vote for. Such is the representative democracy that we live under, for better or for worse. So rather than spend time bitching, whining, or blaming, start learning how to adapt to whatever changes come down the pipe and take the necessary actions to continue living this adventure we call life. Oh and get out and vote for those that you would entrust in making life changing decisions in the next administration. And if it really bothers you, then run for a public office yourself and try to be one of those that make the 700 billion dollar decisions.  

Posted 9/24/2008 10:35 AM by qnetx - recommend - reply

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"The Bush administration asked 17 times for regulation on Fannie and Freddie and was turned down from a Democratic congress"

B.S.
Posted 9/24/2008 10:54 AM by fjblau - recommend - reply


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Seems like the real economic players have to come out from behind the curtain, and show their true identity. FBI investigating? Depends who pulls the strings. There is so much arrogance shown towards common folk these days, that they don't seem to care about anybody, except themselves and they openly do what they have to do to save their interests. It's always been like that, however, it was much easier to camouflage then it is today, because greed got the better of them.

If people go in the streets, they will have the police and army wipe the streets clean. What can you really do when the little you have takes up all your time to defend? Not much.
Posted 9/24/2008 11:07 AM by richardj7 - recommend - reply

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@ShooterSteve - 



Prove that Bush asked 17 times for additional regulation of Fannie and Freddie and I will vote a straight Republican ticket. Serve up some proof....make it good...or lose credibility.
Posted 9/24/2008 11:08 AM by breezygiant01 - recommend - reply

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@breezygiant01 - http://gatewaypundit.blogspot.com/2008/09/bush-called-for-reform-of-fannie-mae.html

 Here is the link, they are many other similar posts with similar information that the media just chooses to ignore.

Posted 9/24/2008 11:31 AM by ShooterSteve - recommend - reply

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@breezygiant01 -  Though the above link is a blog, the list of requests posted is from the white house press release.

Posted 9/24/2008 11:35 AM by ShooterSteve - recommend - reply


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From Bloomberg:

``I think the Treasury will pay back the $700 billion and make a considerable amount of money,'' Buffett said, adding that if he had $700 billion on the government's terms to buy distressed assets, he would. ``Unfortunately, I'm tapped out.''

Posted 9/24/2008 11:39 AM by jacksonwholephoto - recommend - reply

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50 years of republicans championing deregulation and greed...

Bush decides in the last year to make an election year plea for reform.

FAIL.
Posted 9/24/2008 11:41 AM by fjblau - recommend - reply


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http://wingod.newsvine.com/_news/2008/09/18/1882860-bush-attempt-to-rein-in-fannie-and-freddy-opposed-by-congressional-democrats-2003

Here - more stuff, sorry democrats. Someday we can vote for the person rather than the party when the politician can do the right thing for America rather than just to oppose the party. Nancy Pelosi is the perfect example of a Politician willing to hurt America just to blame the other party. Republicans just seem to be more for the country than the party IMO.

Posted 9/24/2008 11:45 AM by ShooterSteve - recommend - reply

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As recently as 2005, the Bush administration REJECTED GSE Reform:

Bush Says No to GSE Reform

Oh sure, its 2008 and all he can talk about is reform.

Too little, too late. Americans aren't going to buy it that the GOP is all of a sudden the champion of reform.
Posted 9/24/2008 11:47 AM by fjblau - recommend - reply

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@fjblau - right on!

Posted 9/24/2008 11:49 AM by jacksonwholephoto - recommend - reply

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@fjblau - 

It actually goes back further 2003 Again here http://wingod.newsvine.com/_news/2008/09/18/1882860-bush-attempt-to-rein-in-fannie-and-freddy-opposed-by-congressional-democrats-2003

We have had Demo's in the office in the last 50 years, post something substantial. These guys are doing their best to prevent a real meltdown that The bush administration tried to reform. They knew, we have smart smart guys up there, back to Alan Greenspan, they tried to address this. This needs to pass, it will hurt less, much less.

Posted 9/24/2008 11:49 AM by ShooterSteve - recommend - reply

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And of course, all Bush can come up with is to give a huge, unregulated bailout with no oversight or transparency to the american people.

That's right... under Bush's plan, the new "regulation" can not even be examined or challenged in any court's jurisdiction.

Rrrrright. Cause we trust them soooooo much after how honest they have been with us over the last 8 years.

EPIC FAIL
Posted 9/24/2008 11:52 AM by fjblau - recommend - reply

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@jacksonwholephoto - Obviously Buffet wants the bailout to go through because he's going to benefit. No person in the banking industry is going to say this bailout is a bad idea. Moral hazard only works if the bad behavior is punished. In a free market risk can be rewarded or punished. I've made both good investments and bad investments in my life and have the positive and negative returns that go with it. You have to take the good with the bad. Goldman Sachs was going to end up like Lehman and Bear without the cash infusions.

Here's some links to help form an opinion.

Posted by Barry Ritholtz on Wednesday, September 24, 2008 | 09:00 AM in Bailouts | M&A

If you missed last night's discussion on the "vote of confidence" deal from Warren Buffett, you are missing the big picture. Go read:  Berkshire to GS: "I Got $5 Billion, but Its Gonna Cost Ya."

The headline writers of both the NYT and the WSJ missed the numbers involved:

NYT: Buffett Deal at Goldman Is Seen as a Sign of Confidence

WSJ:  Move by Famed Investor's Is Seen as a Vote of Confidence in Crisis-Stricken Banking System

Doug Kass goes last night's analysis one better, and notes that using a Black Scholes produces a valuation of $2.8 billion dollars for the warrants. That makes the effective yield over 20% on the preferred purchase.

As we noted last night, this is terrific for Buffett, who smelled blood in the water. Its a tough deal for Goldman, who were a) obviously in a bind for capital; and 2) smart enough to learn from Lehman Brothers mistakes

Posted 9/24/2008 12:07 PM by sp500700 - recommend - reply

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What I'm tempted to say (merely to point out that playing the blame game -- regardless of who wins in November -- will solve nothing...and that the only way to emerge is to work together somehow)...would probably get me banned from this blog.  So...I'm just gonna resist the temptation and hope that everyone has a nice day.  Go spend time with your families / loved ones...I know that's what I really need to do.

Posted 9/24/2008 12:09 PM by bluesky93 Xanga True Member - recommend - reply

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Whoo Hoo listen to Mcain's speech right now, He is LEADING - Bringing the parties together, suspending the campaign. Yes makes him look like a real leader but will help the U.S. You gotta admitt a strong move.  Go Amercia!
Posted 9/24/2008 12:10 PM by ShooterSteve - recommend - reply

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@ShooterSteve - Earlier this year Merrill Lynch was cleaning up their balance sheet and sold assets for 22 cents on the dollar and had to provide 75% of the financing just to get this deal done. Also in the fine print was a clause stating that if the assets are worth less than 22cents that Merrill Lynch would bear the loss. Common sense indicates to me that maybe the whole financial system has this type of toxic paper on their books. My guess is we'll have the taxpayer buy this toxic paper for 70 cents on the dollar when it's actually worthless. Remember if something has value that can be reasonably determined then there's a market for it. THERE'S CURRENTLY NO MARKET FOR THESE TOXIC ASSETS, THAT'S WHY THEY WANT TO SELL THEM TO THE TAXPAYER.

Here's part of the article below: Have a Good One Steve

Merrill said late Monday it was selling repackaged mortgage-backed securities for $7 billion _ just weeks after they had been worth $31 billion, giving them a current value of about 22 cents on the dollar. Analysts believe that sets a new and very low benchmark that other Wall Street banks _ including Citigroup Inc., Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., Morgan Stanley, and JPMorgan Chase & Co. _ might have to meet when valuing their own investments.

Posted 9/24/2008 12:27 PM by sp500700 - recommend - reply

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"Whoo Hoo listen to Mcain's speech right now, He is LEADING"

Either that or he is SCARED to debate Obama.

Your call.
Posted 9/24/2008 12:48 PM by fjblau - recommend - reply

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