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Original: 9/20/2007 12:56 AM
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Thursday, September 20, 2007

 FIRST IN A SERIES OF WHAT WOULD GARY DO IN THE COMING FINANCIAL CRISIS

I'm going to direct this post to a VERY important topic to those of you in the U.S. who hold mortgages.  Please take a moment and locate your loan statement and follow along with me. If you are like so many people, you have a "Payment Option ARM" which was hugely popular about 3 years ago and is extremely dangerous if you don't know what it means.

In a payment option ARM, you have a choice of how much you would like to pay each month.  It's kind of like the credit card statement that says, "here is the minimum balance due" and maybe the credit card wants $125 on a $10,000 balance and your first thought is, "whew!" I only owe $125.  Well the truth is - when you pay the minimum balance on your credit card, the interest gets added to what you owe, and your debt keeps increasing.  This logic created the payment option ARM, and honestly - I think it is highly misleading:


Here is the trap.  You only see the "minimum payment" and you go ok - who wants to pay 32% more for the interest-only payment, or 50% more for the regular amortized payment? (Regular amortized monthly payments would pay off your loan in 30 years if you had a 30 year mortgage... under interest only at the end of 30 years you would still owe the original balance!)
The danger here is that if you pay the minimum payment - just like on your credit card bill - you keep adding to the balance that you owe.  The MAJOR DANGER IS if your balance goes 15% above your original amount borrowed - THE BANK WILL REQUIRE THAT YOU PAY OPTION 3 FOR THE REST OF YOUR LOAN.  That is mandatory 50% more than your original "minimum" payment.
The scary thing that is getting the U.S. into all of this mess is that mortgage lenders QUALIFIED you based on if you could make the MINIMUM monthly payments - that was all that was required for you to be approved for the loan.   So two things happened - the bank lent money to you but you really weren't able to make good on the loan with your current income, but you were probably told that your house was going to go up so much in three years that you could refinance, take cash out, and by the way - you better get this house now before the price goes up even more.
IF YOU DO NOT pay heed to the warning in your mortgage that your loan balance cannot exceed a certain percentage of the original loan before they make you pay regular amortization, YOU CAN BE SCREWED in so many ways:
First of all, you probably can't make the payments at the new level.  Second of all - and this is the worst - you won't be able to refinance in a down market, because the bank will not allow you to borrow more than your house is worth.  And for most homeowners these days, because $2,000 billion dollars was cashed out of home equity loans to pay for kitchen remodels, pay down credit cards or buy that SUV with the spinning wheels - their equity is probably less than the loans.
So here's the scenario - you don't know that you can't exceed the loan balance forever, and all of a sudden you get a letter from your bank that your payment has now gone up a minimum of 50%.  You can't afford it, so you decide that you have to sell the house, but you owe the bank more than you can get for the house.  Now you are stuck, because if you sell the house for cheaper than the loan - you have to write the bank a check to cover the difference.
Selling the house is not a reality because foreclosures are hitting the market in historic numbers, and all of these houses in your neighborhood have to be liquidated at huge losses.  Putting your home in that market is unrealistic.  What should you do - walk away from the loan?  Let it foreclose?
NO BECAUSE IF YOU DO IT WILL BE A MISTAKE THAT WILL BE WITH YOU FOR THE REST OF YOUR LIFE.
I'll tell you why later.  I welcome your comments. 
 Posted 9/20/2007 12:56 AM - 3667 Views - 42 eProps - 54 comments

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Didnt the US government pass some crazy law about bancruptsy? Like you cant walk away from a mortgage? Like if you do, the lender can garnish your wages for EVER until its paid for?
Posted 9/19/2007 9:42 PM by sandyanton Xanga Lifetime Member - recommend - reply

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What if you have a fixed rate (4.75%) 15 year mortgage?  We are NEVER moving!!!

Posted 9/19/2007 9:45 PM by heartfeltphoto - recommend - reply

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Yes Sandy.
Posted 9/19/2007 9:47 PM by garyfong1 Xanga True Member Xanga Lifetime Member - recommend - reply

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oh here is what i would do.

1.have a huge yard sale

2.start making larger payments, in order to come up with the extra cash you could start stripping at a club, well no that would suck, i would probably get rid of my internet, cable, get rid of 1 car, go on a tight food budget (americans are too fat anyhow) stop eating out, definatly cut up those credit cards you should anyhow, get rid of my cell phone, stop going to movies, stop drinking, basically live on the necessities. that alone could save at least $1500 a month you could put towards your house payment. if you were to have a huge yard sale, seriously sell everything you dont use everyday, who cares! you could make like 10 or 15k and put it down on the equity..ahh whats the point no one will..

Posted 9/19/2007 9:48 PM by sandyanton Xanga Lifetime Member - recommend - reply

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10-15k for a yard sale? damn girl... what kind of yard sales do you have? I think we made $700 once. You must have some nice hand me down clothes!
Posted 9/19/2007 9:54 PM by missycarl - recommend - reply

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lol...i mean like sell furniture, tv's, computers, stuff you really dont need...however i do have a shit load of clothes i am getting rid of..and i was up in my attac and found a tone of baby crap, strollers, car seats, cribs omg is was unbelievable i totally forgot about all that crap. oh and you could sell jewelry too..i was just thinking about what people really need vs. what we have.

oh by the way congrats and you have fabulous pictures..=-)

Posted 9/19/2007 10:03 PM by sandyanton Xanga Lifetime Member - recommend - reply

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Can you also hit on the subject of renting vs. buying.....as a first time buyer, or not buyer....WWGD?????  And WHY?!?!?!?
Posted 9/19/2007 10:11 PM by smm672 - recommend - reply

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PLEASE.....I LOVE READING THIS STUFF
Posted 9/19/2007 10:12 PM by smm672 - recommend - reply

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GWR - GR's in Seattle - did not buy... would not buy in the U.S.
Posted 9/19/2007 10:16 PM by garyfong1 Xanga True Member Xanga Lifetime Member - recommend - reply

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Perhaps we can ask the President to nudge the Federal Reserve once again to lower half of a (0.05%) percent  the interest rates given to lending institutions for making loans (Closing fees less) easier for the public to obtain....Oh waite thats whats happening this week. Anyone smell long term Govn bail out soup cooking in the kitchen...Why a bowl of that will feel quite hardy about now.

Posted 9/19/2007 10:20 PM by Robert37 - recommend - reply

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BTW the Federal Reserves lowering of half a percent is temporary. So enjoy the relief today. Good for market and stock valuation.

Posted 9/19/2007 10:33 PM by Robert37 - recommend - reply

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This is better than gold Gary ... seriously. So many people will benefit from hearing this. But, for folks in this scenario, what would you recommend they do if they can't sell or can't refi?
Posted 9/19/2007 10:47 PM by dane_sanders - recommend - reply

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Gary, you really need to write a book! You make it make so much sense!
Posted 9/19/2007 11:27 PM by LindsayKern - recommend - reply

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Dane I will talk about that tomorrow.
Posted 9/19/2007 11:33 PM by garyfong1 Xanga True Member Xanga Lifetime Member - recommend - reply

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wait... ummm .... I need some credit here because he tried to explain it to me in the car and I was completely confused. so I asked the right questions to get the answers that made sense and then I had to explain it back to him in a way that everyone could understand. did I do a good job???

lol
Posted 9/19/2007 11:35 PM by missycarl - recommend - reply

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I love it when I talk about arbitrage and derivatives and she gets this look - well it's like DJ explains it, she rolls her eyes but then they stay on the top.
Posted 9/19/2007 11:36 PM by garyfong1 Xanga True Member Xanga Lifetime Member - recommend - reply

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I know Lindsay I have a talent for making complex things easy to understand for regular people LOL
Posted 9/19/2007 11:37 PM by garyfong1 Xanga True Member Xanga Lifetime Member - recommend - reply

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wait... ummm... who wrote the info for the tour last year??? oh that's right... I made that make sense too!!!
Posted 9/19/2007 11:38 PM by missycarl - recommend - reply

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shut up baby let me play my doobie brothers
Posted 9/19/2007 11:38 PM by garyfong1 Xanga True Member Xanga Lifetime Member - recommend - reply

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wow... does anyone have teenagers in a band? cause that is what it's like living with Gary!!!!!!!!!!!! (only it's all really old music)
Posted 9/19/2007 11:39 PM by missycarl - recommend - reply

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How come you so funny baby? This is funny we are sitting next to each other on laptops saying, "hit refresh!"
Posted 9/19/2007 11:41 PM by garyfong1 Xanga True Member Xanga Lifetime Member - recommend - reply

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as long as you can't find the drum sticks... things are good!!!!!
Posted 9/19/2007 11:41 PM by missycarl - recommend - reply

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I can play with my hands bongo style you idiot
Posted 9/19/2007 11:42 PM by garyfong1 Xanga True Member Xanga Lifetime Member - recommend - reply

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I am going to hit you bongo style in a minute.
Posted 9/19/2007 11:42 PM by missycarl - recommend - reply

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I can play John Bonham's "Moby Dick" solo with just my hands. Don't ask who John Bonham is you stup.
Posted 9/19/2007 11:43 PM by garyfong1 Xanga True Member Xanga Lifetime Member - recommend - reply

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